Sunday, September 22, 2013

Sunday Commentary: Texas beats Kansas State; Now What?

-->
Last night, for the first time since 2003, a revitalized Texas Longhorns team managed to beat Kansas State by ten points.  Texas's offense, led by QB David Ash, who had sat out last Saturday's match against Ole Miss because of a concussion, had 452 total yards (225 passing, 227 rushing) and a 17-point lead over the Wildcats until the fourth quarter.  Texas's defense, under recently hired coordinator Greg Robinson, forced three turnovers and limited Kansas State's offense, which averaged 4.9 yards per rush prior to last night's game, to 3.0 yards.  With yesterday's win in Austin, Mack Brown not only beat a team he had struggled with for nearly a decade.  Consequently, he also avoided the distinction of being the first Texas head coach since 1956 to lead his team to a 1-3 record.  Had this outcome occurred one could argue that the media, given its current focus on Coach Brown's future with the Longhorns, would increase its calls for Texas’s athletic department to begin searching for a replacement.


In fact, yesterday's game revealed that some Longhorn fans were already considering the idea of a Texas football program without Mack Brown.  On ESPN's post-game analysis website there is photo of a fan wearing a "Saban 2014" T-shirt.  The possibility of Texas hiring current Alabama head coach Nick Saban came from an Associated Press report discussing how two regents (one current, one former) from the University of Texas had contacted Saban's agent last January about the idea of him taking over the Longhorns football program after Mack Brown retired.  While subsequent discussions between the two parties failed to produce anything significant, (Coach Saban on his weekly radio show even said that "I'm just too damn old to start all over some place else") the AP story only added to the overall speculation about Mack Brown's future at Texas.  Indeed, the AP article and Saban's response simply begs the questions of (1) Why Texas would consider replacing Mack Brown and (2) Who would be the candidate to take his place?  At this point in the season, there does not seem to be any answer to the second question.  By contrast, we can provide some answer to the first.  


Mack Brown is currently in his sixteenth season as head coach of the Longhorns.  Under his leadership, the Longhorns have accumulated an 152-45 record.  This figure includes nine consecutive seasons with 10+ victories (2001-2009), two postseason Cotton Bowl wins, one Fiesta Bowl win,  and two Rose Bowl victories that include the 2006 BCS National Championship game.  Coach Brown even lead his 2009 team to a second BCS National Championship appearance, which was a game Alabama won 37-21.  That game might have had a different outcome (I am not saying the Longhorns would have won) if Texas Senior QB Colt McCoy had not been injured during the first quarter.  Unfortunately, the seasons following that loss have not been what Texas fans and media pundits have come to historically expect from Mack Brown's teams.  In 2010 Coach Brown had a 5-7 record, his first losing season since he became head coach of the Longhorns back in 1998.  Seasons subsequent to that year have been a little better (2011:  8-5 overall, 4-5 conference; 2012:  9-4 overall, 5-4 conference) and, in all three years, Texas has not been able to beat its main interstate rival Oklahoma.  In the 2010 Red River Rivalry Texas lost 28-20, but in both the 2011 and 2012 editions of that match-up, the results were not as close.  Texas lost to Oklahoma by a score of 55-17 in 2011 and the margin of loss in 2012 was wider, 63-21.  It is also important to mention that Mack Brown's record in the Big XII after 2009 has only been 12-15.  Hence, it is because of the Longhorns performance of the last three seasons that fans and pundits have expressed doubts of whether Mack Brown can restore Texas football its earlier prominence.  


Mack Brown attempted to reverse the decline of his program after the 2010 season in part by making changes in his staff.  Four members, including Offensive Coordinator Greg Davis and Defensive Coordinator Will Muschamp, left the program after the Longhorns went 5-7 that year. Their replacements, including Manny Diaz (Defensive Coordinator), Darrell Wyatt (co/Offensive Coordinator), and Major Applewhite (co/Offensive Coordinator) enabled Texas to earn two more winning seasons and postseason victories in the 2011 Holiday Bowl and the 2012 Alamo Bowl.  However, the start of the 2013 season revealed that Texas was not in a position to build on the modest success of the last two seasons.  In the Longhorns' losses to Brigham Young and Ole Miss, the team's defense gave up 822 rushing yards and 306 passing yards.   But, in all three games (including the win against New Mexico State) the defense gave up 1474 total yards, the 2nd most allowed yards in the first three games of a season in the program's history.  As a result, Coach Brown fired Manny Diaz and replaced him with former Syracuse head coach Greg Robinson, who had previously worked under Brown as Defensive Coordinator during the 2004 season.  


Based on the results of yesterday's game against Kansas State, it would appear that adding Robinson has helped revitalize the Longhorns' defense.  And the fact that Texas was able to defeat Kansas State, an opponent that it has not beaten since 2003, provides Coach Brown and his team with a much-needed rise in morale.  Unfortunately, it is still too early to tell if Texas can accomplish its goal of winning the Big XII regular season championship.  The rest of its schedule includes ranked opponents like #11 Oklahoma State (Nov. 16th), #14 Oklahoma (Oct. 12th - Cotton Bowl Stadium), #19 Baylor (December 7th), and #24 Texas Tech (Nov. 28th) as well as away games at Iowa State (Oct. 3rd), Texas Christian (Oct. 26th), and West Virginia (Nov. 9th).  Texas has a formidable schedule ahead of them, but starting a season with two losses is not the worst thing that can happen to a program.  For instance, back in 2011 the Georgia Bulldogs under Mark Richt lost their first two games, but then they won the rest of their regular season and subsequently played in the SEC championship game.  Can Texas do something similar?  It would make an interesting news story if the Longhorns could go 10-2 for the regular season.  At this point though, Texas has two weeks before it plays its next game against Iowa State.  But the Longhorns' upset of Kansas State may give the media something else to discuss about Texas football, at least in the short-term, rather than simply focusing on Mack Brown's future in Austin. 

No comments:

Post a Comment